Well, no, they won't despite the Governments insistence. Not a dollar from the sale of our assets will go where National has been promising it will - they simply aren't telling the truth. Tim Watkin @ Pundit explains - and it's not a difficult thing to do, why Key, English and especially Ryall, as seen on Q&A this morning, are bullshitting us (please excuse the farming language).
"At the heart of its argument is debt. As Steven Joyce said again in
parliament this week, mixed ownership is "about controlling the nation's
debt".
But now Ryall admits that the profits from Mighty River
Power won't be used to pay down a single cent of debt. Nope, no debt
will be paid off thanks to this sale (and presumably the others). The
only way these sales tackle our public debt is that they save us from
borrowing more money for schools, hospitals and KiwiRail."
" So the debt argument just doesn't stack up.
But it's worse than
that. Not only do the sales not pay down any debt, the loss of
dividends from these companies must ultimately mean more debt somewhere down the track.
Bernard
Hickey pointed out to me this week that over the past ten years the
companies primed for sale have delivered a return on capital of 16%.
Government borrowing is currently near an all-time low, at around 3.5%.
So we're sacrificing 16% to save us 3.5%? How does that make economic
sense?"
The asset sales trade-off - a lose-lose.
Sunday, June 17, 2012
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Some figures to contrastthe article:
Figure 2.8 - Net core Crown debt
Source: The Treasury
Year ending 30 June
$billions % of GDP
2000 25,895 23.0
2001 24,908 20.8
2002 25,388 19.9
2003 24,531 18.2
2004 23,858 16.4
2005 19,879 12.9
2006 16,163 10.0
2007 13,380 7.8
2008 10,258 5.6
2009 17,119 9.2
2010 26,738 14.1
2011 40,128 20.0
2012 51,921 25.0
2013 61,265 28.1
2014 66,470 28.7
2015 69,791 28.6
2016 70,668 27.7
Debt is toxic in the current economic environment.
Paranormal
National's racking it up, paranormal, as you know. Asset sales will do little, if anything to change that. The profits are not even going to go toward paying down debt, as Key previously claimed. It's a con.
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