tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2047364082320718555.post8204209012233912093..comments2023-11-22T21:31:54.494+13:00Comments on robertguyton: Black swan eveningrobertguytonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07335459362715594644noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2047364082320718555.post-59322715397822092982013-08-21T07:23:30.276+12:002013-08-21T07:23:30.276+12:00Yes, AC, Mr Peters and Mr Dot Com were rock-solid ...Yes, AC, Mr Peters and Mr Dot Com were rock-solid confident.robertguytonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07335459362715594644noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2047364082320718555.post-78773957943938473922013-08-21T07:11:25.924+12:002013-08-21T07:11:25.924+12:00I know AC and it works for people in the northern ...I know AC and it works for people in the northern hemisphere where they never see black swans. It's just a personal thing, it doesn't work as a concept for me because I've only seen black swans. I've also always disliked 'down under', another imported northern hemisphere term. Contrary, I am.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06191100615891240315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2047364082320718555.post-67618327437672172272013-08-20T20:54:34.058+12:002013-08-20T20:54:34.058+12:00It's a sign CG - nothing is unpredictable, how...It's a sign CG - nothing is unpredictable, however many things are unpredicted.Armchair Critichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08471331367551108517noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2047364082320718555.post-33887528989399144992013-08-20T20:39:22.900+12:002013-08-20T20:39:22.900+12:00I have an issue with the 'black swan' conc...I have an issue with the 'black swan' concept because all the swans I ever see ARE black. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06191100615891240315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2047364082320718555.post-89061168143896261542013-08-20T19:36:51.548+12:002013-08-20T19:36:51.548+12:00After a day of deliberation, one of my conclusions...After a day of deliberation, one of my conclusions from watching the speakers on the stage last night is that a long game is being played. My guess is that the election will be a foregone conclusion several months before the election, due to what many on the right will see as a black swan event.Armchair Critichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08471331367551108517noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2047364082320718555.post-53404597752962445762013-08-20T19:23:06.294+12:002013-08-20T19:23:06.294+12:00Yes, the two events are coincidental, that is, hap...Yes, the two events are coincidental, that is, happening at the same time. The poll trend clwearly points to a left-wing victory at the next election, but that no surprise to the punter with the wide view. What that left-wing Government might be like is another matter. Russel is showing himself to be very capable indeed and he has the scent of victory, both electoral and on a personal demolish-the-Nat-MPs-one-at-a-time level, in his nostrils. He has a steady eye and has weaned himself from reading out his attacks. Even the seasoned Winston Peters can't do that. Nor can Key, except where he's been drilled.robertguytonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07335459362715594644noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2047364082320718555.post-24880928870404396042013-08-20T18:46:03.417+12:002013-08-20T18:46:03.417+12:00Figuratively as well as literally? Now that would ...Figuratively as well as literally? Now that would make for an interesting post.<br />All the swans are heading to the left. Like the Roy Morgan poll. Coincidence, of course.Armchair Critichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08471331367551108517noreply@blogger.com